Our betting analyst anticipates a closely contested match between two local rivals, with the in-form Vinicius Junior leading Real Madrid to secure three points against Getafe.
Top predictions for Real Madrid versus Getafe
Match Preview and Analysis
Real Madrid to secure victory & both teams to score – No at odds of 1.83 on bet365
Wagering on fewer than 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00 with bet365
Vinicius Junior to find the net at odds of 2.37 on bet365
Key Player to Watch
All betting odds are provided by bet365, accurate at the time of publication and may vary thereafter.
Getafe is anticipated to face difficulties at the Bernabeu against Real Madrid.
Getafe continues to surprise few, as they maintain a cautious approach under the guidance of Pepe Bordalas. This strategy has been their hallmark for nearly ten years, and this season is no different.
Betting Predictions
Following 25 games, Getafe ranks as the second lowest scoring team in Spain’s top division. They have netted 20 goals against an expected goals (xG) tally of 18.7, indicating they are exceeding expectations. No other team in La Liga has generated fewer xG this season.
They have suffered defeats in all three encounters with top five teams on the road without finding the net. Additionally, Getafe has lost to nil in each of their last four matches against Real Madrid.
The current indicators point towards a secure evening for the home side at the Bernabeu. Real Madrid appears poised to secure a victory in this match without allowing any goals, boasting an implied likelihood of 52.6%.
Getafe’s Tactical Approach
Real Madrid faces Getafe Bet 1: Back Real Madrid for a victory & BTTS – No at odds of 1.83 on bet365
Guests should prioritize maintaining a strong defense
Getafe’s hopes are at least lifted by the update that Kylian Mbappe is presently sidelined due to injury. He was a last-minute exclusion from the matchday roster against Benfica on Wednesday and is not anticipated to participate in this match.
With Mbappe contributing to 43% of his team’s league goals this season, Real Madrid will require support from other players. They might have to exercise patience in a match that is typically characterized by low scores.
In the last 11 encounters between these teams, 10 resulted in two or fewer goals. This includes a 1-0 victory for Real Madrid earlier this season, which featured a late goal in the 80th minute. That goal came only after Getafe had been reduced to 10 players during the game.
Since Alvaro Arbeloa took over, the hosts have managed to score more than twice in just two matches. Considering this performance and the historical context of the matchup, wagering on under 2.5 goals appears to be a wise choice.
Real Madrid faces Getafe with a wager of under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00 on bet365.
Forecast for the match – Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe
Predicted goalscorers for Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior, Gonzalo Garcia
Real Madrid displayed a lackluster performance midweek, yet managed to secure their advancement in the Champions League with a 2-1 victory against Benfica. They had previously been on an impressive league streak, winning eight consecutive matches over two months. Nevertheless, their winning streak came to an end with a 2-1 loss to Osasuna in their last La Liga match.
Getafe’s main goal is to avoid relegation. They achieved vital consecutive victories against Alaves and Villarreal in February, allowing them to climb into the mid-table. Nevertheless, a recent 1-0 defeat at home to fellow relegation contenders Sevilla proved to be a significant blow.
Expected starting players for Real Madrid against Getafe
Projected lineup for Real Madrid: Courtois, Carreras, Alaba, Rudiger, Alexander-Arnold, Camavinga, Tchouameni, Valverde, Guler, Vinicius, Gonzalo
Projected lineup for Getafe: Soria, Iglesias, Romero, Abqar, Duarte, Femenia, Arambarri, Martin, Milla, Vazquez, Satriano