Our betting analyst anticipates a closely contested match between the two local rivals, with the in-form Vinicius Junior leading Real Madrid to a potential victory.
Top picks for Real Madrid versus Getafe
Match Preview and Analysis
Real Madrid to secure a victory & BTTS – No at odds of 1.83 on bet365
Betting on under 2.5 goals at a price of 2.00 with bet365
Vinicius Junior to find the net at odds of 2.37 on bet365
Key Betting Insights
All betting odds are provided by bet365, accurate at the time of publication and may vary over time.
Getafe is anticipated to face difficulties at the Bernabeu against Real Madrid.
Getafe continues to surprise few, as they maintain a cautious approach under the management of Pepe Bordalas. This strategy has been their hallmark for nearly ten years, and this season remains consistent with that trend.
Vinicius Junior’s Impact
Following 25 games, Getafe ranks as the second lowest scoring team in Spain’s top division. They have netted 20 goals against an expected goals (xG) tally of 18.7, indicating they are exceeding expectations. No other team in the Spanish top flight has generated fewer xG this season.
They have already suffered defeats in all three encounters with top five teams on the road without finding the net. Additionally, Getafe has been shut out in their last four matches against Real Madrid.
The current trends indicate a favorable evening for the home side at the Bernabeu. Real Madrid appears poised to secure a victory in this match without allowing any goals, boasting an implied probability of 52.6%.
Getafe’s Tactical Approach
Real Madrid facing Getafe Bet 1: Real Madrid to secure a victory & BTTS – No at odds of 1.83 on bet365
Guests should prioritize maintaining strong defensive structure
Getafe’s hopes are at least lifted by the update that Kylian Mbappe is presently sidelined due to injury. He was a last-minute exclusion from the squad for the match against Benfica on Wednesday and is not anticipated to participate in this game.
With Mbappe contributing to 43% of his team’s league goals this season, Real Madrid will require support from other players. They might have to exercise patience in a match that typically sees few goals.
In the last 11 encounters between these teams, 10 concluded with two or fewer goals. This includes a 1-0 victory for Real Madrid earlier this season, which featured a late goal in the 80th minute. That goal came only after Getafe had been reduced to 10 players during the game.
Since Alvaro Arbeloa assumed control, the hosts have managed to score more than twice in just two matches. Considering this performance and the historical context of the matchup, wagering on under 2.5 goals seems to be the wise choice.
Real Madrid facing Getafe Bet 2: Less than 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00 on bet365
Forecast for the match – Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe
Predicted goalscorers for Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior, Gonzalo Garcia
Real Madrid struggled in their midweek match, yet managed to secure a 2-1 victory against Benfica, ensuring their advancement in the Champions League. They had previously been on a remarkable league streak, winning eight consecutive games over a span of two months. However, their winning run came to an end with a 2-1 loss to Osasuna in their last La Liga match.
Getafe’s main goal is to avoid relegation. In February, they achieved vital consecutive victories against Alaves and Villarreal, allowing them to climb into the middle of the table. Nevertheless, a disappointing 1-0 defeat at home to fellow relegation candidates Sevilla marked a significant setback for the team.
Expected formations for Real Madrid versus Getafe
Projected lineup for Real Madrid: Courtois, Carreras, Alaba, Rudiger, Alexander-Arnold, Camavinga, Tchouameni, Valverde, Guler, Vinicius, Gonzalo
Projected lineup for Getafe: Soria, Iglesias, Romero, Abqar, Duarte, Femenia, Arambarri, Martin, Milla, Vazquez, Satriano